Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.542492 0.618511 0.700282 0.794650 0.900420 1.015177 1.148973
2025-05-25 0.429533 0.534371 0.656071 0.807232 0.989357 1.201088 1.465222
2025-06-01 0.347953 0.469437 0.620715 0.821590 1.079800 1.398871 1.821103
2025-06-08 0.279913 0.407786 0.577873 0.818157 1.145884 1.573826 2.170811
2025-06-15 0.236372 0.369708 0.558125 0.839688 1.244665 1.799978 2.611367
2025-06-22 0.194221 0.325349 0.521711 0.831195 1.299059 1.970386 2.993976
2025-06-29 0.165912 0.296232 0.502116 0.842787 1.381526 2.186627 3.461564
2025-07-06 0.137139 0.260786 0.466658 0.823799 1.413604 2.329877 3.833851
2025-07-13 0.122605 0.246641 0.463004 0.854269 1.525292 2.603287 4.428048
2025-07-20 0.110677 0.234860 0.461203 0.886741 1.642577 2.894934 5.075522
2025-07-27 0.097687 0.218597 0.448747 0.898248 1.724345 3.134621 5.657693
2025-08-03 0.085483 0.201564 0.432112 0.899381 1.786862 3.345948 6.208346
2025-08-10 0.074518 0.185290 0.414929 0.897934 1.845798 3.558735 6.784550
2025-08-17 0.065575 0.171718 0.401085 0.901027 1.913254 3.792279 7.416847
2025-08-24 0.058366 0.160696 0.390836 0.909844 1.992290 4.053224 8.119349
2025-08-31 0.050861 0.147423 0.373616 0.901623 2.036163 4.251722 8.722169
2025-09-07 0.046340 0.140724 0.370077 0.922234 2.140539 4.573605 9.580965
2025-09-14 0.040447 0.129157 0.353362 0.911156 2.176918 4.765138 10.203433
2025-09-21 0.036567 0.122292 0.346884 0.922574 2.262483 5.061075 11.051611
2025-09-28 0.031565 0.111064 0.327684 0.901222 2.273130 5.204582 11.605367
2025-10-05 0.029591 0.108513 0.330505 0.933789 2.408781 5.618222 12.737338
2025-10-12 0.027864 0.106373 0.334095 0.968667 2.553015 6.060600 13.958556
2025-10-19 0.025436 0.101403 0.329133 0.980926 2.644866 6.396681 14.979049